2011 A's lineup by Jason Wojciechowski Monday, December 6th, 2010, 8:15 pm
I keep chattering on Twitter about lineups and batting order, so here, for
the record, is my 2011 A's lineup:
Coco Crisp CF
David DeJesus RF
Daric Barton 1B
Kurt Suzuki C
Jack Cust DH
Chris Carter LF
Cliff Pennington SS
Mark Ellis 2B
Kevin Kouzmanoff 3B
The Crisp-DeJesus-Barton order isn't necessarily what I'd choose, but Bob
Geren's comments today suggest that that's what we're looking at, so I ran with
it. For what it's worth, I'd probably do DeJesus-Barton-Cust-Crisp.
So if I'd want Cust batting third, but Barton's going to bat third instead,
why do I have Ellis hitting fourth instead of Cust? Because I have this crazy
idea that is based on nothing empirical at all that the team should try putting
its best contact hitter in that spot, aiming for singles that bring home Crisp
or DeJesus from second. (Ryan Sweeney actually had the team's highest Contact
Percentage on the A's last year, per Fangraphs, but he's not cracking my
starting lineup.)
After that weird experiment, we can't hold Cust off any longer -- his OBP has
to come to the plate more times than anyone listed below him (and more than a
few of the guys ahead of him, but like I said, I'm working in a mix of
Geren-created limitations and my own fantasies about the dynamics of lineup
construction here).
Carter has the most raw power of anyone on the team, and he could hit his way
up a spot or two in the order as the year goes on, but right now he's a big
strong dude with contact issues, and we've seen some of those guys succeed and
some fail over the years.
After Carter, I don't have strong feelings about the Ellis-Pennington order.
Pennington's probably the better hitter right now.
Kevin Kouzmanoff just disgusts me with the lumber in his hands. If he hits
ninth, he won't come to bat very often.
Also, I know Cust isn't under contract, so if you want to overpay Hideki
Matsui and bat him fourth instead, pushing Carter-Pennington-Suzuki to 5-6-7,
then whatever, do what you feel. If you don't get Matsui but you also don't
want Cust, then I question your judgment, but I'll stick Carter at DH, Sweeney
in right, and DeJesus in left, resulting in this:
Crisp DeJesus Barton Sweeney Carter Pennington Suzuki Ellis Kouzmanoff