Tim
Hudson is becoming a better Cy Young candidate
by the moment. After last night's 5-2 win over the Devil Rays, in which Hudson
threw eight innings and gave up two runs on six hits and a walk, his record
stands at 14-4. The win total isn't as gaudy as some others in the league,
though he has moved into the top ten, but it's going to be hard for the voters
to ignore the fact that he only has four losses and that he ranks second in ERA
(to Pedro
Martinez, who he trails by 0.10) and innings (Roy
Halladay, 4.7), and first in WHIP (second is Mike
Mussina, who trails by 0.03).
Whether he deserves it or not is another question, though the answer also favors
Hudson. His 6.3 Support
Neutral Wins Above Replacement is tied with Esteban
Loaiza for the most in the majors and his 68.6 VORP is the
best among pitchers, 0.2 ahead of Loaiza. In fact, since we can use VORP to
compare pitchers to hitters, we can see that Hudson wouldn't make a terrible
choice as AL MVP. As usual, Alex
Rodriguez is the most valuable player in the league, but as usual, he
probably won't win the award. The fourth highest VORP in the majors, and the
second highest in the American League, however, belongs to Tim Hudson.
Unfortunately, you probably
have to win 25 games to have a shot at MVP as a starting pitcher, regardless
of how you actually perform.
Those SNWAR numbers, I just noticed, don't include last night's game, so
Hudson's good outing combined with the fact that Loaiza didn't pitch last night
should move him into first place all alone. The VORP ratings do include last
night's game.
Maybe Terrence
Long just needs to hit anywhere in the bottom of the order. He batted
eighth last night, and walked three times. Let's think about that. Before last
night, Long had walked 25 times in 470 plate appearances. That's basically five
percent of the time. It was pretty long (no pun intended) odds, then, that Long
would walk three times last night.
Mark
Ellis hit first again, and continued his mini-renaissance, going 2-4 with a
walk and his 26th double of the year. Eric
Chavez also continued his hot streak with two hits, including his 30th
double of the year. If he can hit six more home runs before the year ends, this
will be his third consecutive year with 30 doubles and 30 homers.
Is it me, or does Chris
Singleton have a knack for the bases-loaded walk? He's only walked 24 times
this year, but he walked a run in against Kansas City on May 29 and did it again
against Baltimore on the 26th of August before doing it one more time last
night. Thus, one eighth of Singleton's walks have come at the most opportune
moment possible, and one eleventh of his RBI have been earned by trotting down
to first.
I can't say enough about Keith
Foulke. A three-run save against Tampa Bay isn't all that impressive, and
he did give up a double to Rocco
Baldelli, though Baldelli got thrown out trying to make it a triple, but he
still got out of the inning using just nine pitches. That's impressive
regardless of who you're pitching against.
Baltimore led Seattle last night 2-0 going into the bottom of the ninth, but the
bullpen couldn't hold the lead, as John
Olerud hit a two-run single to end things, allowing Seattle to remain just
two back of Oakland. Boston beat up on the Yankee pitching staff as well, so
they remain tied with the Mariners.
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