Beaneball http://beaneball.org Sports and all that surrounds, focusing on the A's and Lakers en-usjasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Welcome to the new Beaneball.org http://beaneball.org/985.html985 This is the new, stripped-down Beaneball.org. I've finally decided to move away from the old software that I'd been using for years to this platform, which doesn't have a name, mainly because I wrote it. It's obviously much less pretty, but it's functional, and it does exactly what I want (precisely because I'm the one who wrote it). And when it doesn't do something I want, I can make it do that. Unless that involves Javascript or PHP, because I'm illiterate when it comes to web technology invented after 1992.

Anyway, update your feed readers to reflect the new RSS feed, linked above and in the sidebar. Let me know if anything's obviously broken. Internal links are going to be broken, and they're just going to remain that way. I don't have the time or patience to go back and redo the link from a three-year-old post to a five-year-old post.

If you want to search the site ... uh, too bad? No, the best thing to do is use "site:beaneball.org" in a google search, although it'll probably be a little while before Google updates itself as to the site.
jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Am I nerd enough to believe in Michael Hogan? http://beaneball.org/984.html984 (So the title is a mashup reference to Battlestar Galactica's Col. Tigh and Kris Kristofferson's Pilgrim's Progress. And I think, meter-wise, it works: you could sing that line in a parody. Anyway, Michael Hogan comes up at the very end of this post.)

I had started a livebloggish type of thing about the Lakers-Mavs game, but it was so ugly and infuriating as a Lakers fan (under 40% shooting, under 65% free throw shooting, and a whopping 19 turnovers had me yelling at the team; a 29-21 foul disparity and a 32-14 free-throw disparity had me yelling at the refs) that I just couldn't. Outside of Chicago/Boston, which I wrote about yesterday, here are the rest of the scores.

Phoenix 123, Golden State 101: Three different Suns went for 20+, and the other two starters each had 18, so I think it's safe to say that seven-seconds-or-less is back. Playing Nellie's Warriors, there wasn't going to be any kind of attempt to slow them down. Steve Nash managed a 20-assist night, which is pretty good. The Suns' bench sucks, though, doesn't it? Outside of Jared Dudley, is there anybody down there (Jarron Collins, Alando Tucker, Louis Amundson, Goran Dragic, Earl Clark) you'd want to count on?

Utah 111, Clippers 98: Each team had three 20-point scorers (the most surprising one being Paul Millsap), but Utah got 17 from Ronnie Brewer's high-percentage stylings (8-11 shooting) and 10 due to Kyrylo Fesenko's blind luck (5-6). Kosta Koufos managed eight rebounds (five offensive) in just 13 minutes off the bench for Utah, presumably taking advantage of the Clippers' lack of bench size (Craig Smith has trademarked the phrase "undersized power forward").

Memphis 115, Toronto 107: Chris Bosh dropped a 37/12, but Memphis had six guys in double digits, led by Zach Randolph's 30. Z-Bo had a rebounding line that only Z-Bo could manage: seven rebounds, six offensive. The guy is really the most indifferent defensive rebounder at his position in the league, isn't he? Marc Gasol, by the way, if not for his five turnovers, looks like a beast from the boxscores: he got just eight field-goal attempts, but turned that into 19 points, second on the team, by hitting six of them and going 7-7 from the charity stripe.

Orlando 95, Nets 95: J.J. Redick got big minutes after Vince Carter went down with an ankle injury of some sort, and "took advantage" by scoring 12 points on ten shots. Dwight Howard had a classic Dwight Howard game: 20 points, 22 boards, four blocks, 4/11 from the free-throw line. I'm not writing about the Nets until they ask Courtney Lee not to take 17 shots in a game.

Cleveland 104, Minnesota 87: Cleveland finally got in the win column against the hapless Wolves (so hapless that they're actually a half game ahead of Cleveland). Shaq had six points, seven boards, and five fouls in 19 minutes. He always had a few games like that here and there, but as he's gotten older, he's gotten a little slower, presumably causing him to reach more on defense and barrel over guys more on offense, and these quick-foul games that limit his minutes and effectiveness have become more common. It didn't matter last night because the Timberwolves have Damien Wilkins in their starting lineup. At least Nathan Jawai got four minutes off the bench. Ah, blowouts.

Miami 96, Pacers 83: The Heat got to the line 46 times, 19 by Dwyane Wade alone. That's pretty much the story of the game, aside from Jermaine O'Neal suddenly putting up 20/10's again (22/12 this time out). The Big Stiff (Roy Hibbert, in case you forgot) had five fouls in 16 minutes, a positively Shaqian performance.

Sonics 91, Pistons 83: Yes, I'm still holding on. Look, I was born in western Washington and lived for a time as a baby in Seattle. If they folded up the Lakers, the Sonics might've been my default go-to team. So I'm hanging with this. Anyway, this strikes me as a great "passing of the torch game", even though the Sonics are in the West and the Pistons are in the East. Kevin Durant et al. are the up-and-comers, and they might well have arrived this year, and the Pistons have fallen from their early-'00s heights to mediocrity: they're probably a safe bet for the playoffs, but they're just as safe a bet not to be a real threat to win it all. Ben Gordon did his usual work in this game, scoring 25 but needing 20 shots to get there. Rodney Stuckey, who's supposedly a point guard, had two assists. Kevin Durant? Yeah, he's here: 25/12.

New Orleans 97, Sacramento 92: Speaking of teams that missed their window, hey New Orleans. How y'all doin'? Chris Paul went for 31, although he only had four assists, which is weird because it's not like his team shot horribly: 25/59 outside of him. Kevin Martin had one of those "I'm on a bad team" nights, shooting 9/29. That's pretty amazing. It's not every day a guy misses 20 shots in a game. It's like the old baseball saw: "You have to be pretty good to lose 20 games." You know, even when you're missing and missing, they still keep coming back to you because what else are you going to do? Make Sean May your go-to guy?

Atlanta 100, Bullets 89: Gil Arenas scored 23, but needed 22 shots. Andray Blatche was the third-leading scorer. That's not a winning formula, even when you hold the other team to 41% shooting.

Charlotte 102, Knicks 100: Double overtime! Sweet! A little bird told me that the MSG Network's "Knicks in 60" thing, where they replay the previous night's game, edited down to 60 minutes, decided to completely omit the fourth quarter (when the Knicks outscored the Bobcats 27-13 to send the game to OT) and both overtimes. Nice job, guys. Gerald Wallace had 18/15, which is pretty cool, except he took 20 shots. Also, the Knicks' first-round (#8!) pick? Despite two overtimes, Jordan Hill did not get off the bench. Ouch.

Sixers 99, Bucks 86: Someone called "Ersan Ilyasova", supposedly a small forward for the Bucks, scored 11 in 18 minutes off the bench. (If you can't say anything nice ...) Six guys were in double digits for Philly, though, and nobody took more than 12 shots, which I always like seeing. Spreeeeeeead the wealth around, as a certain politician like to emphasize a year.

(Speaking of which, did you see the Dollhouse episode where they're working on this important Rossum guy's nephew, but it turns out he's a serial killer? I'm ashamed to admit I went the whole episode thinking about how creepily like John McCain the guy who played the uncle was, only to realize that it was Michael Hogan, i.e. Col. Tigh from Battlestar Galactica. What kind of geek am I? No kind of geek to write home about, that's for sure. But I do get some kind of credit for going all "hee!" when Frank Sobotka from The Wire (the actor's name is Chris Bauer) showed up as a possibly unethical defense attorney in The Good Wife, right? And for doing the same thing when he was a priest in Life on Mars last year?)
jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)The Bulls aren't that good http://beaneball.org/983.html983 Chicago at Boston, Erev Halloween

First quarter



The Bulls don't play very much offense, do they? They kind of dribble the ball around and then take a shot. There are passes sometimes, but there's not much actual ball movement. We know now that midrange jumpers are the least efficient shot in the game: the shot doesn't go in very often, you don't get fouled, and you only get two points for it (contra close shots, where they go in a lot and you get fouled; and threes, where you get, um, three points for them). And the Bulls seem like they shoot a lot of midrange jumpers after one pass.

Now, maybe this is Boston's defense, because that's observation number two. Shocker: the Celtics defense is really good. They pack the paint without getting called for very many defensive threes, they have good, long disruptive individual defenders like Paul Pierce, Rajon Rondo, Rasheed Wallace, and Kevin Garnett. (Wallace in particular impressed me on a play against Brad Miller, where he was in the paint, like he's supposed to be, closed out to Brad Miller's jumper, went up on the pump fake, but didn't just fly by; instead, he came down near Miller and recovered to be on his hip all the way to the lane, so that Miller's layup attempt was either blocked or tough enough that he missed it. Wallace ended up in good rebounding position at the end of it (although I don't remember whether he actually got the rebound). Just a very nice defensive play all around by Wallace.)

Anyway, I'd like to blame Vinny Del Negro for this, because really, does any coach (a) act as clueless; (b) have the background to be teased for being clueless as Del Negro? It's not even close. But haven't the Bulls been like this for as long as we can remember? It's weird, because the players have turned over, the coaches have turned over ... but they're still this weird, unstructured offensive team.

Second quarter



I missed a lot of the second quarter because I was typing the stuff about the first quarter. But I swear I just saw a cute girl in a sort of western-style shirt behind Chicago's bench. In Boston! Who knew?

Joakim Noah's technical foul for swiping at the ball was dumb on his part. I will give Kendrick Perkins credit for just taking it and walking away. That's the kind of play that all too often in the NBA results in tempers flaring, guys insisting on protecting their manhood and honor, and so on and so on. Especially this Celtics team: Rondo, Garnett, and Perkins are particularly ... feisty. I'm never a fan of giving people credit for doing the minimum of what they're supposed to do ("good job being an adult!"), but that's just the state of the NBA. Especially considering the history these two teams share after last year's physical, hard-fought, intense playoff series.

Hey, it's The Sports Guy! Doing exactly the kind of thing I feel like he hates -- he's on TV, doing an interview in the middle of a basketball game, talking about his book while the game goes on completely un-commented-on. I'm not gonna be a hata here and blast Simmons for this, because if you talk to me, you get plenty of Sports Guy hate. I'm just noting the irony.

But hey, nice job by Simmons asking Hubie a KG question about whether he's rusty, whether this is what he's going to be going forward forever, etc. He turned the conversation to something relevant to people watching the game and totally took advantage of the fact that he's sitting right next to Hubie for one of the only, if not the only, time ever. And now he's asking Hubie about back-to-backs and Chicago being a young team.

Coming back from commercial, ESPN showed a clip of Vince Carter going down, staying down, and then limping off the court. For Orlando's sake, I hope he's ok. I'd hate for the East to lose a contender in the first week of the season.

Halftime



From the Cavs-Wolves highlights, I have to ask whether Shaq is worth doubling at this point in his career. Especially if doubling him means you're leaving LeBron an open path to the basket, and you know Shaq knows how to hit the open cutter. He's been doing it for 18 years now. Obviously, the design of the double-team is not to leave LeBron that cut, but as a coach, you know breakdowns will happen. You design in a way that covers that, but you gameplan to know it won't always work. Wouldn't you rather Shaq go one-on-one against his man every time down and maybe score 30 than let LeBron have anything easy? I would.

The rest of the game



Ok, this one was over. I tuned out.
jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Maybe the West won't shape up like I thought http://beaneball.org/982.html982 Only two games last night, but that's ok, because the Bulls did the Lakers a favor, beating their major Western rival, the Spurs, mainly behind keeping everyone but Tim Duncan off the scoreboard. Duncan had an efficient 28/16, but Manu was the next leading scorer with 12 on 11 shots.

On Chicago's side, everyone contributed, as six players were in double digits, but on the other hand, it was an inefficient night: 41.7% shooting for the team, just 18.8% from three, and 67.9% from the free throw line. The Spurs shot about the same in all three areas. The key looks like four extra turnovers by the Spurs and seven extra offensive rebounds by the Bulls. Greg Popovich has to be angry at his team for letting Luol Deng grab four offensive rebounds, Joakim Noah gather six, and even Taj Gibson garner three. (See that? Three synonyms for "get a rebound" all starting with the letter 'g'. Eh? Eh?)

Denver went to 2-0, beating Portland, as Carmelo made a statement clearly aimed at my doubting that team's results last year. I think they're set to regress and have no chance of being back in the Western Conference Finals. Carmelo apparently thinks different, as he went for 41 and was just one point shy of a two-points-per-shot performance. He took advantage of a loose-whistle night, as the teams combined for sixty fouls and ninety free throws.
jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)A -33 plus/minus is not good http://beaneball.org/981.html981 First big night of NBA action! Box scores!
  • Al Horford had a great night to open the year, going for 24/16, but the opposing center was Roy Hibbert, so I think we have to knock about 30% off those numbers.
  • Elton Brand? Eight points, six boards. Andre Iguodala? Eight points, five boards, six assists. If not for Marreese Speights improbably going 10/11 off the bench, Orlando would have won by way more than 14.
  • LeBron missed six of his fourteen free throws. I've had an argument all summer with a friend who swears LeBron's free-throw shooting woes are behind him. I'm not convinced.
  • Andrea Bargnani went off for 26 points against the Cavs' assortment of bigs, although you'd like to see him grab more than five rebounds. I guess Chris Bosh was hogging them all, as he had 16.
  • Charlotte scored 59 points, including 10 in the third quarter. They were under 20 in each quarter. DJ Augustin had a -30 plus/minus off the bench. Gerald Wallace was at -33. Stephen Graham, who I've never heard of, was the starting small forward for Charlotte.
  • The Knicks lost, but Danilo "Big Cock" Gallinari shot 7-14 overall and 7-13 from three. That's an awesome shooting line from a guy who's 6'10". I feel like Gallinari is showing us what would have happened if Mike D. had been let loose with Dirk Nowitzki.
  • The Heat, beating the Knicks, had three guys over 20 points, including Jermaine O'Neal, who has apparently decided he's not dead after all. The "why" is debatable. Beach life warmed him up? Or contract year?
  • New Jersey got edged by Minnesota, but Brook Lopez had 27/15 with five blocks. That's, let's say, very solid numbers.
  • Minnesota got exactly three assists from their revamped point guard rotation: Johnny Flynn had two and Ramon Sessions had one.
  • The Spurs didn't need anyone to go over 20 en route to 113 points against New Orleans. DeJuan Blair had 14 points in 23 minutes off the bench. Oh, those San Antonio second-round picks.
  • Omri Casspi, the first Israeli in the league, had fifteen points off the bench for Sacramento, but Oklahoma City has a lot of talent: Jeff Green (24/8), Kevin Durant (25/11, vintage Texas numbers), Nenad Krstic (20/7), and Russell Westbrook (14/7/13) just overwhelmed the Kings. Green, who's technically the power forward, hit four of his five three-point attempts. That team could really be trouble, although their bench looks pretty barren.
  • I love the Memphis starting-five: Z-Bo, Rudy Gay, Marc Gasol, O.J. Mayo, and eventually Allen Iverson, although last night it was Mike Conley. And you've got Hasheem Thabeet and Hamed Haddadi on the bench, don't forget. This could be tons of (disasteriffic) fun. Last night? Lost to Detroit by 22. Marc Gasol could have been confused for his brother, though: 21/15 with three blocks and just nine field goals attempted. The big difference? No assists. But when you've got Z-Bo and Gay and Mayo on the floor with you, would you pass the rock once you got it? Hell, no. You're not getting it back if you give it up.
  • The Utah-Denver box score (Denver won by 9) is relatively unremarkable (Carmelo scored 30 and Ty Lawson had an inefficient 17 in his debut), so I'll just note that I like Andrei Kirilenko's new, much more adult hair-style.
  • Trevor Ariza is taking his role as the Ron Artest replacement very seriously: he led the Rockets to a narrow win over Golden State by taking the most shots on the team (21), launching nine threes (he did hit four of them), and turning the ball over six times.
  • Jason Richardson supposedly got a DNP-CD last night against the Clippers, while Leandro Barbosa started alongside Steve Nash. That can't be right. And, no, Google says it isn't, it's a team suspension for a reckless driving arrest.
  • jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Hoosier Jack on baseball's problems -- FJM edition http://beaneball.org/980.html980 Fire Joe Morgan never really picked on the low-hanging fruit of unread blogs and tiny-town newspapers. I, however, have no such scruples. (Also, I happen to live in the tiny town from whence the blog post herein ridiculed originated.) For your pleasure, then, here is "Why baseball is in trouble", by the esteemed Hoosier Jack, sportswriter and blogger for the Victoria Advocate.
    Anybody know off the top of their heads who are the hottest teams in baseball right now as the regular season winds down?

    The answer might surprise you. It's the Cincinnati Reds, Oakland Athletics, Atlanta Braves and Minnesota Twins.

    Didn't know, did ya? Probably because if you're like most people, you don't care anymore because the thundering roar of football season has drowned out the meow of the baseball regular season.
    No, the answer surprises you because two of those four teams aren't in the playoff race. Although I will admit that football's thundering roar really hit hard last Wednesday, when ... oh, right, nothing happened.
    Or, even if you're like me, and you DO care, you were forced to lose interest long ago because your team has been, for all intents and purposes, eliminated for months.
    You were forced to lose interest? Really? The A's have been bad a number of times since I've been a fan, and Bud Selig has never once come over to my house and changed the channel to football because Oakland was no longer in the playoff race. Nobody forced you. You just don't care about baseball.
    It didn't used to be this way. As I was growing up, even with football season rolling in, fans had a vested interest in baseball. The strikes happened and there have been slow comebacks, but it's not like it used to be.
    You were born in 1984. You have not seen "strikes", plural. You have seen one strike. Singular.

    More importantly, since when the fuck do you only have to be 25 to use the "back in the day" argument? You can't lament the old days when the old days were the mid-to-late '90s. And it wasn't better ten years ago! Football has been the country's biggest sport for a good long while now.
    And unless baseball changes and adapts, it never will, or it might get worse.
    It never will what? It never will change and adapt? It never will be like it used to be? Ok, here are the options:

    1. "Unless baseball changes and adapts, it never will change or adapt, or it might get worse." Nobody would actually write that, so that can't be.

    2. "Unless baseball changes and adapts, it will never be like it used to be, or it might get worse." This one at least makes some sense, plus it has the virtue of being exactly what you expect from a curmudgeonly, ancient, 25-year-old sports columnist: baseball needs to change back to what it was!
    For one thing, there are too many teams, and far too little parity. A lot of that can be attributed to the financial organization of the sport. The owners allow large markets like New York, Boston, Chicago and Los Angeles to dominate the free agent market with lavish contracts that get greedier by the year. While small-market owners cut costs in every way possible without regard for fans or the success of the team.
    Too many teams! I thought the comparison here was to the thundering herd of mighty oxen that is the NFL. Which has 32 teams. Which is two more than are in MLB.

    The lack of parity in baseball is, I agree, astounding. This year alone, the large-market Cardinals are triumphing over the small-market Cubs and Astros, the Tigers, still flush from their auto-industry bailout cash, are triumphing over the downtrodden White Sox, and the Rockies, from Denver, the media capital of the free world, lead the wild card over those plucky Mets.

    That's without even mentioning that only 10 different teams won the NLCS from 1998 to 2008. Or that only seven teams won the ALCS from 2001 to 2008. This clear domination by a couple of elite teams is just driving fans in all the other markets batty.

    Finally: I'm not sure "greedy" means what you think it does.
    I look at about a third of the league and see a raft of teams that have not been any kind of factor for at least a decade, some for longer.
    Well, that's easily verifiable, no? A third of the league. So let's find ten teams that haven't been a factor in a decade. Let's start with the teams that aren't factors this year: the Jays, Orioles, White Sox, Indians, Royals, Mariners, A's, Marlins (uncharitably), Mets, Nationals, Brewers, Reds, Astros, Pirates, Giants (similar lack of charity), Padres, and Diamondbacks.

    The White Sox are out because they've been in the playoffs three times since 2000, and of course won the World Series in 2005. The Indians have been in the playoffs twice in the decade and came within a game of the World Series in 2007. The Mariners went to the ALCS in 2000 and 2001 (when they won a whopping 116 games) and won 93 games in 2002 and 2003. The A's have been in the playoffs five times since 2000, and lost four consecutive Game 5's from 2000 to 2003. In 2004 and 2005, they won 91 and 88 games but missed the playoffs. The Marlins won the World Series in 2003. The Mets went to the World Series in 2000, came within a game of getting there in 2006, and went down to the wire in 2007 and 2008. The Brewers made the playoffs last year. Houston has been in the playoffs three times, and the World Series once. The Padres went to the playoffs in 2005 and 2006, and then won more games in 2007 than they did in either of those two years. Arizona has been to the playoffs three times, and of course won the World Series in 2001. The Giants have been in the playoffs three times, and lost a World Series Game 7 in 2002.

    I'll grant Hoosier Jack the Jays even though they've had three 86-plus win seasons this decade because they just haven't been that close to the playoffs. The Orioles are very clearly in the non-factor group, although for entirely different reasons than Hoosier Jack wishes they were: they spent tons of money for a number of years; they just happened to do it really badly. The Royals won 83 games in 2003! Ok, fine, that's a third team for the list. The Natspos were pretty good back in '93-'94. The Reds just suck. The Pirates suck worse.

    So with all those teams crossed off the "List of Putridity", we're left with six teams, and that's being generous as to the Blue Jays. Six teams is not ten teams. (This wasn't even an attempt at funny. Sorry. Here.)
    Even in basketball, the draft can turn the worst teams into contenders quickly, and the number of inept franchises in these sports is fewer than in baseball.
    Really? Here's my list of NBA ineptitude: Indiana, Milwaukee, Charlotte, Washington, Minnesota, the Clippers, Sacramento, and Memphis. That's eight. That's more than six.

    Also, the fact that drafting someone like LeBron James, Tim Duncan, or Dwight Howard leads to a near-immediate turnaround is one of my least favorite things about basketball. All it takes is one bad year timed right and suddenly you have a world-changing player on your team. You won't win championships without putting a good team around that superstar (hello, Cleveland!), but in baseball and football, you actually have to build a team to win. The A's weren't good because they drafted Jason Giambi, they were good because they drafted Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder, Barry Zito, Eric Chavez, and Giambi, and signed Miguel Tejada out of the Dominican Republic. Nobody tanks in baseball because there's no point to it. That one player at the top of the draft is not going to be a game-changer all by himself.
    And how about this time of year? Fans are forced to go through this month to two-month lull leading up to the playoffs while football has captured their attention? Even the fans of contenders have to be bored by the time the playoffs come around.
    Right, tell that to the Yankees fans who read on the back page of the Post today that the Yankees clinched their division, while the Giants and Jets, both winners, were relegated to the inside pages. And as a 49ers fan, I can tell you that November and December is a two-month lull leading up to the playoffs in football as well. I'm usually more focused on the Lakers by that point. And Sacramento Kings fans are rooting for their AAA Rivercats every April.
    So what to do? Fewer teams might be a good start. I could see the league being a lot stronger financially with about 20 teams. You might complain, but if the system won't allow some teams to be competitive, why have them at all?
    Nothing you have written so far has established that the league is not strong financially. Everything you have written so far, including this paragraph, indicates that you have never actually read anything about the economics of baseball, including the legal (and thus economic) difficulties of contraction.
    Fewer games? Definitely. If they do keep this number of teams, why not do what football did? Create four divisions and allow two wildcard teams. It's almost guaranteed to help parity and fan interest. And the game can do without the final two months of the regular season. Expand the playoffs so the season can wrap up in a reasonable time.
    Ok, except for the Blue Jays, I don't think any of the teams listed above would have benefit from expanding the playoffs. The other five teams on the Horrible List have been fourth- and fifth- and sixth-place teams, even in bad divisions. It would have been the same measly 24 teams having a shot at the playoffs year after year.

    Also, adding two playoff teams would not take up the two months you just chopped off the season. That's a lot of ticket sales and TV revenue flushed down the toilet to address this mythical boredom.

    Finally, have you seen the NBA playoffs? They drag on and on and on. TNT's slogan for their NBA playoff coverage is "40 games in 40 nights", which, first, doesn't make any sense, and, second, is a biblical allusion to a flood that happened because it rained for a really intolerably long time. That's right, even TNT tacitly admits that the NBA playoffs are way too long, that we are flooded with playoff basketball, deluged with meaningless 4-2 series wins by a number five seed over a number four seed and even more meaningless sweeps by one seeds over eight seeds.
    What DO you think?
    You emphasized the wrong word.
    jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Bitching about run differentials and the unfairness of it all http://beaneball.org/979.html979 A's fans who've actually been paying attention probably know the following facts, but I didn't.

    First, the A's run differential is -5. Second, the A's record is 71-79. Third, the Tigers' run differential is -1. Fourth, the Tigers' record is 80-70. Fifth, Seattle's record is 79-72. Sixth, Seattle's run differential is -55.

    Not that any of this makes Twins fans feel better, as Minnesota languishes three games back of Detroit despite being 28 runs better in differential. Or Blue Jays fans, for that matter, as they sit with a fourth-place team and a 67-83 record despite a +7 differential.

    For the Blue Jays, it gets even worse: their run differential says they're a .500 team, but once you throw in strength of schedule considerations, they should be about 78-72. Now, that's not a playoff team, but it's also not a team 15 games below .500.

    As for the Tigers, they've not only outperformed their differential, but they've also allowed 16 fewer runs than you'd expect given how their opponents have hit. When you throw in the strength of schedule, they're a 72-77 team.

    All numbers come, of course, from Baseball Prospectus's Adjusted Standings Report. (By the time you click on that, the numbers may have changed, since you'll be taken to the most updated version of the page. I'm looking at the numbers generated on the morning of 9/22/09.)
    jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Cliff Pennington, plus hitter? http://beaneball.org/978.html978 Did you know that Cliff Pennington has a .361 on-base percentage? I had no idea. Will the A's have a guy with a plus bat at the position next year for the first time since Miguel Tejada in 2003? (I'm throwing out Bobby Crosby's second year, when he hit very well, but played only half the year due to injuries.)jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Sean Rodriguez to the Rays http://beaneball.org/977.html977 Tampa Bay finally decides to pull the plug on Scott Kazmir and trades him across the country to the Angels. Kazmir has struggled mightily and been injured and has always had difficulty harnessing his stuff anyway. So what do the Rays get back from the Angels? Not some random A-ball live arm who'll be selling insurance in two years, but a legitimate slugging second baseman who has already destroyed AAA twice and is still just 24 years old. That's plain old unfair. It had become clear that Sean Rodriguez was never going to get a clear shot in Anaheim. Howie Kendrick couldn't do a damn thing this year, so Rodriguez got 29 whopping plate appearances. He didn't hit for average (.200), but he did hit for power (.220 ISO), and he even walked a few times (three), consistent with his minor league profile (51 walks in 435 PAs, .317 ISO).

    Yes, Salt Lake is a bandbox, but here's a guy with obvious power (you can't take that much air out of a .300+ ISO) who's definitely a second baseman and who's maybe even a shortstop (he's actually got more SS games in his minor league career, but the trend is toward second). Anaheim really couldn't use that?

    Mostly I'm just frustrated because I'd always hoped Rodriguez would end up playing short on the A's. Oh well.
    jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)"DVD Trio" done for http://beaneball.org/976.html976 The Texas Rangers' vaunted DVD trio of John Danks, Edison Volquez, and Thomas Diamond is officially no more. Danks and Volquez were of course traded in deals that may or may not be considered successes. Diamond, though, was still struggling along in the minor leagues for the Rangers until yesterday, when they designated him for assignment. Obviously, this is just a roster move, not the literal end of his career, but it's a roster move that speaks pretty loudly for a 26-year-old who's never reached the majors, who missed 2007 entirely, and whose walk rate was an astounding 6.2 per nine last year and is even higher, at 7.1, this year.jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Patterson up, Everidge down http://beaneball.org/975.html975 The A's called up Eric Patterson yesterday, sending down Tommy Everidge to do it. Everidge will presumably help Sacramento on its annual run to the title and then be up in mid-September. For now, though, the A's will take a look at Daric Barton at first base. This, along with calling up Eric Patterson to see what he can do, strikes me as long overdue. Everidge is a fun guy to root for, for sure, but his upside is benchy. That said, the A's still ran with their Hairston-Davis-Sweeney outfield yesterday, along with Adam Kennedy at third base. At least two of those guys have no real future: Sweeney is a fourth outfielder and Adam Kennedy is 33 years old. Why not let Patterson play? I know it's a lot easier to sit on this side of a computer monitor and tell Bob Geren and Billy Beane to bench Kennedy, a guy who for a while was your only offense, but that's why you get paid the big bucks, right? To make the hard decisions? Anyway, Daric Barton had a single and a walk in four trips yesterday, although he did make an error.jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)The youngsters reign: Cahill, Bailey, McCutchen, Marte, and more http://beaneball.org/974.html974 Trevor Cahill and the fantastic duo of Mike Wuertz and Andrew Bailey shut out the Angels on three hits and two walks. Both walks came in the first, but Cahill got out of the jam by picking off Chone Figgins at second base, a grievous error by Figgins when Cahill was clearly struggling. Ryan Sweeney missed a cycle by a double.

    J.A. Happ pitched one of those visiting team losing complete games. Unfortunately, he lost 3-2 by giving up two runs in the bottom of the eighth on a Garrett Jones homer. Andrew McCutchen also hit a homer and is batting 290/361/486 in a half-season of work. His UZR, for what it's worth in this small sample, is also excellent, clocking in at five runs above average in center field. He looks, in short, to be every bit the franchise cornerstone he's supposed to be, a Carlos Beltran for the '10s (right down to the base-stealing, 15/18 on the year).

    Cleveland beat Baltimore on Andy Marte's top-of-the-ninth two-run homer. Marte was playing first base and batting ninth, and he's hitting 275/338/420 for the year. That's not good, but it's not horrible, either. It is better than such noted starting third basemen in the league as Jack Hannahan, Adam Kennedy, Melvin Mora, and likely a few others that I didn't bother to look up. Of course, Marte's line comes in just 20 games, but if he's a third baseman defensively, then he may well have revived his career.

    The Mets had an awesome box-score against the Marlins: each of the one through seven hitters had exactly two hits, and the number eight man, Anderson Hernandez, had three. It added up to a 10-run night for the New Yorkers, overcoming a two-homer night from leadoff man Chris Coghlan.

    Kyle McClellan gave up the tying run for the Cardinals against the Astros in the eighth inning, and then followed that by giving up a go-ahead homer in the ninth. Why exactly was a guy like Kyle McClellan pitching the ninth inning of a tie game? Especially after he gave up a run in the previous inning?

    Mark Reynolds hit his 39th homer of the season, helping Arizona to an 11-0 drubbing of the Giants. If Reynolds just stops now, he'll have increased his homer total by 11 for the second straight season (17 to 28 to 39) and put himself on pace for 50 next year. "Imprison Mark Reynolds" has to be the rallying cry of the weird-stats contingent, right?

    Nyjer Morgan had a sweet day for my fantasy team, making no outs, scoring a run, and stealing two bases. Unfortunately, he broke his hand stealing third and is done for the year. Sadly, I don't own Ryan Zimmerman, Adam Dunn, or Derek Lee, each of whom homered.
    jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)What's waivers for, then? http://beaneball.org/973.html973 Rotoworld says that Trevor Hoffman has been put on waivers and someone claimed him. However: "A deal is unlikely as he wants to remain in Milwaukee and GM Doug Melvin has indicated any waiver deal is highly unlikely." So, um, why'd they put him on waivers?jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Morning roundup http://beaneball.org/972.html972 In an attempt to keep things moving here, since I've been AWOL for almost a month ...

    On the news side of things, my buddy Migs will be happy to hear that Lance Broadway has been called up to the Mets to replace Oliver Perez, gone for the year with more knee trouble. Not that Broadway is such an awesome pitcher, but, come on, the name!

    The Red Sox released Brad Penny as Tim Wakefield came back from the DL. Penny is certainly not the pitcher he was in 2007, but the ERA jump from 3.03 to 5.61 (with a 6.27 mark last year) masks the fact that he was never that good in 2007 (4.38 xFIP -- Penny was very lucky on his HR/FB that year) and hasn't been that bad in 2009 (4.96 xFIP). This isn't really a John Smoltz situation where he could latch on and help a contender, but he probably could take the ball serviceably for a young team out of contention looking to go to a 6- or 7-man rotation to keep the innings counts on their young starters down. The Orioles and A's come to mind.

    Today features a couple of afternoon games with standings implications: the Rangers visit the Yankees at 1:00 eastern and the Dodgers play the Rockies at 3:00. The Yankees can help both themselves and the Red Sox with a win, while the Dodgers' lead has shrunk to margins not imaginable earlier this season. It stands at three games right now, and that's only because L.A. beat the Rockies last night.

    Neither game features a scintillating pitching matchup. It's really very close to September, so the best of a bad lot is probably Clayton Richard for the Padres twirling against Javy Vazquez for the Braves. (Maybe that one just jumps out at me for fantasy reasons. I own both guys, albeit in different leagues.)
    jasonw@beaneball.org (Jason Wojciechowski)Orlando Cabrera to the Twins http://beaneball.org/971.html971 The A's get back a shortstop prospect who's apparently not a long-term shortstop, Tyler Ladendorf. He's 21 this year and started the season at Rookie ball before being promoted to A-ball, where he hasn't hit at all in his first fifteen games.

    Forget the analytics for a moment, though, because I got surprisingly attached to Orlando Cabrera in his short time as an Athletic. No, he wasn't much of a hitter, recent hot singles streak aside, because he doesn't walk and he doesn't hit for power, but he was pretty fun to watch. I love the way he'd rather get nothing on his throw but make the throw quickly rather than set his feet, I love the way he insists on jumping over the runner on ever 4-6-3 double play, and I love the way he dances around on the bases, sometimes breaking for second before the pitcher has even lifted his leg to start the pitch. He looks like he's still having fun playing the game, but he also takes his performance seriously (recalling the quotes earlier in the year when he thought his defensive play was horrible).

    I'm sure I'll forget him in a few weeks, but for now, I'm a little sad to see him go.