Chris
St.
John
has
been
building
a
minor-league
stats
system
called
JAVIER
for
a
while
now.
The
goal
is
to
find
a
stats-only
approach
that
can
given
a
rough
idea
of
how
likely
that
player
is
to
succeed
in
the
majors.
To
be
clear,
St.
John
does
not
pretend,
and
we
should
not
pretend,
that
this
approach,
or
any
stats-only
approach,
can
replace
scouting.
The
value,
I
think,
in
a
system
like
this
is
to
compare
what
the
stats
system
says
to
what
scouts
say,
perhaps
to
supplement
the
scouts,
perhaps
to
find
overlooked
players
whose
tools
don't
excite
anyone
but
who
keep
producing
numbers
such
that
we
might
expect
them
to
produce
in
the
majors
notwithstanding
no
Troutian
physical
abilities.
So
what's
at
the
link
is
JAVIER's
top
25
A's
under
the
age
of
25
as
rated
by
JAVIER.
Note
that
this
includes
some
established
major-leaguers
(Derek
Norris,
Jarrod
Parker)
but
does
not
include
their
major-league
stats.
So
Norris
is
at
the
top
of
the
heap
even
without
accounting
for
the
fact
that
he's
got
a
career
.274
True
Average
and
43.6
VORP
already
in
the
majors.
Anyway,
take
a
gander
and
keep
it
in
mind
as
Matt
Olson,
Daniel
Robertson
and
Renato
Nunez
make
their
way
up
the
chain.