Sonny Gray a "finalist" for AL Cy Young

Posted by Jason Wojciechowski on November 10, 2015 at 10:08 PM

I still think the whole "finalist" thing for awards that they do now is silly, though that's probably more of a linguistic objection than anything legitimate -- we don't typically use "finalist" to mean "person who is in the top three of the voting but we haven't announced the full voting results yet." MLB's sin is not thinking of a better word, I guess.

In any event, we do now in fact know that Sonny Gray is in the top three of the AL Cy Young Award voting, along with Dallas Keuchel and David Price. The race isn't quite as fun as the NL's "WHO THE HELL KNOWS" threesome, but hey

Stat 1st 2nd 3rd
DRA Gray Keuchel Price
PWARP Keuchel Price Gray
cFIP Sale Carrasco Price
FIP Sale Price Carrasco
fWAR Price Sale Keuchel
RA/9 Keuchel Price Gray
bWAR Keuchel Price Gray

Keuchel threw 12 more innings than Price and 24 more than Gray. Because Gray doesn't blow away the field in the rate stats (his DRA lead is slim), that innings gap is fatal. Sale, who threw 2/3 of an inning more than Gray, suffers the same fate, but also loses out because of bad performance in the clutch -- Sale allowed an OPS+ 22 points better than the league average overall, but eight points worse than league average with runners in scoring position. Eight points worse than league average doesn't sound like a lot, but consider that we're talking about Chris Sale.

In any event, Keuchel probably deserves this win, but it won't be any kind of travesty if Price pulls it out.